Inflation : The Real Issues With US Dollar Vs Naira
US Dollar vs NIG Naira: The Real Issues
A business Analyst By Dr. Oni Gbolabo explain on the issues affecting Nigeria inflation as a result of Dollar on the raise agiant Naira. He stated that Currency appreciation and depreciation is not related to race or color or who is the president be it Hausa Igbo or Yoruba. It is basically about production of goods and services and the demand of your products in the world market. A confused country that produces almost nothing will never meet up. Policies only control your currency, not the value of another country’s currency against yours.
He continue by saying, A country where over 500 industries died within 30 years must be stupid to complain of depreciation of her currency. We keep killing local industries and expect policies to make it up. It’s a joke sir. Don’t use China as an example in depreciating currencies and strong economy. China produces and may attract more export with that strategy unlike Nigeria that produces nothing.
He further explain that a country where someone carried $2+billion simply to be shared is already a doomed one in terms of monetary policy and value. A country that produces Dizeani and Bafarawa who spent billions to appease demons. Money without economic value is an economic poison injected into the system.
He stated the importance of local production as the root cause of forign currency hicke, he said Nigeria is country that favours importation over local production and is doomed to the economy because it creates employment for another country while sacking her own citizens. Some people are working in Michelin and Dunlop somewhere, yet we use the tyre here. Don’t tell me principle of comparative advantage here. It’s not applicable.
Exportation factor to the currency issues is as a result of Nigeria exporting all raw materials without adding value and shameless to talk of depreciation of currency, to later re-import finished products of that material is the peak of daftness. A bag of cocoa will go for like N1 million but when it is processed it will be worth around N7 million. Even farmers who produce raw cocoa can’t buy chocolate.
He mention Nigeria Banks as the factor that affect the Nigeria currency depreciation, He said Nigeria is a country that deliberately operate a banking system that gives loans to importers at the expense of local industries is doomed and should say nothing about depreciation. Most of the loans are given to Senators and Representatives, not industrialists.
He give his analytical point of view as regards to agricultural developmental effect in the country. He stated that Nigeria is a country that gives loans in billions to agric sector without monitoring & evaluation of such loan on how it gets to the real farmers is a sham. A guy collected over N2 billion agric loan, he bought a Jeep, built a mansion, and use the rest to import processed pork. Meanwhile, local pork farmers are dying here. Is that not a double tragedy, stressing forex and at the same time killing local industries.
On the political negative effect, he mention that Nigeria is a country that spend more on a few privileged politicians at the expense of the populace who are unemployed should not talk about depreciation. A country that keeps paying NNPC staff N10 billion as salaries every month when a single drop of petrol was not refined should shut up about depreciation of currency. Crime is rising as value added to the initial failure.
Nigeria is a country where it is difficult for investors to register businesses because of the governent officials demanding for bribe. Right from airport, to hotel, to Minister to Governors, investors must give bribe. All these are part of cost of investment. A friend brought investor on estate development just for the State Commissioner in charge to demand 30% of the investment. To see the Governor of a state will cost you N2 million as bribe before you can be scheduled. This is a State as poor as anything.
The Business Analyst pointed out that the importance of building world class hospital in the country to minimize the frequent travellig abroad by govermnet officials, he noted that Nigeria is country where the cost of travelling for treatment abroad by officials will build world class hospitals should not talk about naira against dollar parity. Money taken to that trip is part of stress on forex.
Nigeria is a country where few people have access to federal reserve and those few can get loans,not because of what they can produce, but because of the connection they have – is that country not gone already?
Importanly Nigeria is country where we import what we produce because it’s cheaper over there is gone then expect niara not to depreciate.
Nigeria is a country that has arable land, teaming idle youths and still complain of hunger should not talk about currency depreciation. It’s annoying.
Nigeria is country where free money flows can never control inflow and outflow of forex. Imagine someone who wants to hide his loot went to _bureau-de-change_ to buy dollars worth $50 million just to hide it in the basement of his house. That money has no economic value yet it deprives Companies that need it to import raw materials. Those Companies go to that same _bureau-de-change_ to buy forex at exorbitant price.
Nigeria is a country where a strong bank owner can influence shares from within Stock Exchange room to inflate their shares worth from N20 to N150, crash the same share to N30 and ready to buy it back at N28 all within a year. Forget it, currency will never appreciate in such economy.
Nigeria is a country where banks are involved in round tripping and inflated cost to siphon money is doomed. A Company wants to import caterpillar worths $50,000. A bank made the forex $550,000 meanwhile no caterpillar was imported, yet the money faded into private accounts. Who strain forex in that case?